← Primeira Liga 2013-14 · Sat, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Portugal win | 55% | 54% | 1.79 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 3.76 | fair |
| Pacos Ferreira win | 19% | 19% | 5.01 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pacos Ferreira | Sporting Clube de Portugal |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 63.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1522.37 | 1747.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.02 | 28.37 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 23.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.96 | 6.96 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 2.28 |
| state index | 0.30 | 1.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |