← Primeira Liga 2013-14 · Sun, Feb 9, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga win | 69% | 73% | 1.42 | value: +3% |
| Draw | 20% | 19% | 4.88 | fair |
| Gil Vicente FC win | 11% | 8% | 8.69 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Braga | Gil Vicente FC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 253.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1631.60 | 1458.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.38 | -36.42 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| league points | 23.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.12 |
| state index | 0.57 | -1.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |