← Primeira Liga 2012-13 · Sat, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Portugal win | 64% | 64% | 1.52 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 24% | 4.30 | fair |
| Moreirense FC win | 13% | 13% | 7.41 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Portugal | Moreirense FC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1608.94 | 1460.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.95 | 16.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 30.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.96 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| state index | 0.42 | -0.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |