← Primeira Liga 2011-12 · Sat, Mar 24, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Portugal win | 71% | 74% | 1.33 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 16% | 5.00 | fair |
| Feirense win | 9% | 10% | 11.00 | value: +8% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Portugal | Feirense |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1630.40 | 1431.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.47 | -17.18 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| league points | 41.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.78 | 0.74 |
| state index | 0.56 | -1.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.00 |