← Primeira Liga 2011-12 · Sun, Feb 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto win | 84% | 91% | 1.13 | fair |
| Draw | 11% | 6% | 8.50 | fair |
| Feirense win | 5% | 3% | 21.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Porto | Feirense |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 270.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1884.76 | 1447.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.82 | -31.22 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | — |
| league points | 46.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.42 | 0.84 |
| state index | 1.67 | -1.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.20 |