← Primeira Liga 2010-11 · Mon, Apr 11, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga win | 53% | 57% | 1.75 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 29% | 3.40 | fair |
| Vitória SC win | 19% | 14% | 5.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Braga | Vitória SC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 345.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1656.83 | 1505.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.24 | -37.84 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 40.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.36 |
| state index | 0.88 | -0.64 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |