← Primeira Liga 2010-11 · Sat, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga win | 44% | 47% | 2.10 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 29% | 3.20 | fair |
| Beira Mar win | 26% | 24% | 3.60 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Beira Mar | Sporting Clube de Braga |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 336.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1473.42 | 1650.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.02 | 9.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 29.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 12.96 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.54 |
| state index | -0.22 | 0.77 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |