← Primeira Liga 2010-11 · Sat, Feb 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto win | 64% | 67% | 1.44 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 21% | 4.33 | fair |
| Olhanense win | 13% | 12% | 7.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Olhanense | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 240.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1506.19 | 1880.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.15 | 16.77 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.85 |
| league points | 27.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 2.80 |
| state index | 0.09 | 1.92 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |