← Primeira Liga 2010-11 · Sun, Feb 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave FC win | 47% | 44% | 2.00 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 29% | 3.20 | fair |
| Portimonense win | 24% | 26% | 4.00 | value: +6% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rio Ave FC | Portimonense |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1416.54 | 1409.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.67 | -28.74 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| league points | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.78 | 0.56 |
| state index | -0.96 | -1.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |