← Primeira Liga 2010-11 · Sun, Feb 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica win | 72% | 72% | 1.30 | fair |
| Draw | 19% | 20% | 5.00 | fair |
| Vitória SC win | 9% | 8% | 11.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | Vitória SC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 592.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1791.68 | 1538.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.72 | -13.04 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| league points | 42.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 1.61 |
| state index | 1.84 | -0.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |