← Primeira Liga 2010-11 · Sat, Jan 22, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olhanense win | 40% | 45% | 2.30 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 31% | 3.10 | fair |
| Academica win | 30% | 25% | 3.20 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Olhanense | Academica |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1479.77 | 1479.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.47 | -29.24 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| league points | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.83 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |