← Primeira Liga 2009-10 · Sat, Mar 6, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto win | 76% | 84% | 1.20 | fair |
| Draw | 17% | 11% | 5.50 | fair |
| Olhanense win | 7% | 5% | 13.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Porto | Olhanense |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1709.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1788.54 | 1460.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.83 | 0.54 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.10 |
| league points | 43.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.05 | 0.90 |
| state index | 1.34 | -0.58 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |