← Primeira Liga 2009-10 · Sat, Feb 27, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga win | 69% | 70% | 1.35 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 22% | 4.50 | fair |
| Olhanense win | 9% | 8% | 11.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Braga | Olhanense |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 118.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1684.46 | 1465.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.93 | 12.43 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.10 |
| league points | 48.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.40 | 0.95 |
| state index | 0.96 | -0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |