← Primeira Liga 2008-09 · Fri, May 1, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga win | 40% | 42% | 2.35 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 33% | 3.00 | fair |
| Rio Ave FC win | 30% | 25% | 3.25 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rio Ave FC | Sporting Clube de Braga |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 304.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1391.16 | 1592.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.05 | 12.18 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 23.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.73 |
| state index | -0.47 | 0.64 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |