← Primeira Liga 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Portugal win | 74% | 82% | 1.22 | fair |
| Draw | 18% | 13% | 5.00 | fair |
| Est Amadora win | 8% | 6% | 12.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Portugal | Est Amadora |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1711.61 | 1452.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.84 | -24.97 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| league points | 53.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 2.12 | 1.08 |
| state index | 1.33 | -0.99 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |