← Primeira Liga 2007-08 · Mon, Apr 14, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga win | 69% | 69% | 1.33 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 21% | 4.50 | fair |
| Leiria win | 11% | 10% | 9.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Braga | Leiria |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 926.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1561.54 | 1367.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.09 | -38.29 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 34.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 0.36 |
| state index | 0.19 | -1.55 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |