← Primeira Liga 2007-08 · Sun, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Portugal win | 75% | 80% | 1.20 | fair |
| Draw | 17% | 15% | 5.50 | fair |
| Leixoes win | 8% | 5% | 13.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Portugal | Leixoes |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1725.53 | 1480.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.95 | -20.71 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 43.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 0.88 |
| state index | 1.32 | -0.85 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |