← Primeira Liga 2007-08 · Sat, Mar 15, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto win | 60% | 67% | 1.53 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 20% | 3.60 | fair |
| Leixoes win | 14% | 13% | 7.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leixoes | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 988.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1488.39 | 1819.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.52 | 9.34 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.70 |
| league points | 21.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 2.45 |
| state index | -0.55 | 1.65 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |