← Primeira Liga 2007-08 · Fri, Feb 29, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga win | 41% | 54% | 2.30 | value: +24% |
| Draw | 30% | 27% | 3.10 | fair |
| Vitória SC win | 29% | 20% | 3.20 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Braga | Vitória SC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 881.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1597.08 | 1545.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.63 | 7.23 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 26.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.70 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |