← Primeira Liga 2007-08 · Sun, Jan 27, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Portugal win | 36% | 39% | 2.62 | fair |
| FC Porto win | 35% | 33% | 2.75 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | 3.20 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Portugal | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 940.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1727.47 | 1826.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.77 | 6.16 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.55 |
| league points | 27.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 2.56 |
| state index | 0.76 | 1.66 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |