← Primeira Liga 2006-07 · Sun, Apr 29, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica win | 40% | 35% | 2.25 | fair |
| Sporting Clube de Portugal win | 30% | 28% | 3.00 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 37% | 3.10 | value: +14% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | Sporting Clube de Portugal |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 302.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1688.63 | 1706.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.03 | 38.39 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| league points | 57.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.19 | 2.23 |
| state index | 0.94 | 1.53 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |