← Primeira Liga 2006-07 · Fri, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Portugal win | 69% | 75% | 1.33 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 17% | 4.50 | fair |
| Maritimo win | 10% | 8% | 9.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Portugal | Maritimo |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1693.95 | 1489.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.60 | -28.33 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| league points | 52.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 2.17 | 1.25 |
| state index | 1.36 | -0.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |