← Primeira Liga 2006-07 · Mon, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Portugal win | 73% | 78% | 1.22 | fair |
| Draw | 18% | 15% | 5.00 | fair |
| Beira Mar win | 9% | 7% | 11.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Portugal | Beira Mar |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1681.84 | 1418.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.33 | -15.72 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| league points | 46.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 15.96 | 14.96 |
| season ppg | 2.09 | 0.68 |
| state index | 1.01 | -0.97 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |