← Primeira Liga 2005-06 · Sun, May 7, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Portugal win | 63% | 74% | 1.44 | value: +6% |
| Draw | 24% | 21% | 3.75 | fair |
| Sporting Clube de Braga win | 13% | 5% | 7.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Portugal | Sporting Clube de Braga |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 218.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1628.92 | 1553.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.04 | -4.82 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| league points | 69.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.09 | 1.76 |
| state index | 0.66 | 0.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |