← Primeira Liga 2005-06 · Sat, Mar 25, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica win | 55% | 60% | 1.66 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 20% | 3.40 | fair |
| Sporting Clube de Braga win | 18% | 21% | 5.50 | value: +13% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | Sporting Clube de Braga |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 267.00 | 175.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1577.62 | 1566.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.22 | 14.03 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| league points | 53.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.96 | 1.89 |
| state index | 0.41 | 0.44 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |