← Primeira Liga 2005-06 · Sun, Mar 19, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Clube de Braga win | 58% | 67% | 1.57 | value: +5% |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 3.60 | fair |
| Maritimo win | 16% | 8% | 6.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sporting Clube de Braga | Maritimo |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 169.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1557.08 | 1480.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.86 | -28.91 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| league points | 48.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 1.19 |
| state index | 0.39 | -0.64 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |