← Eredivisie 2016-17 · Sat, Mar 18, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV win | 75% | 77% | 1.30 | fair |
| Draw | 16% | 16% | 6.09 | fair |
| Vitesse win | 9% | 7% | 11.04 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | PSV | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 290.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1855.48 | 1585.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.30 | -27.72 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| league points | 58.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 2.23 | 1.50 |
| state index | 1.64 | 0.05 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |