← Eredivisie 2016-17 · Sat, Mar 4, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV win | 86% | 90% | 1.13 | fair |
| Draw | 10% | 6% | 9.86 | fair |
| Roda JC win | 4% | 3% | 23.53 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | PSV | Roda JC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 276.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1850.76 | 1418.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.60 | 15.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| league points | 52.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| state index | 1.53 | -0.41 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.40 |