← Eredivisie 2016-17 · Sun, Feb 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 39% | 44% | 2.51 | value: +9% |
| PSV win | 33% | 27% | 2.94 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 29% | 3.49 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feyenoord Rotterdam | PSV |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 667.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1781.83 | 1878.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.81 | 21.92 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.35 |
| league points | 60.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | — |
| season ppg | 2.61 | 2.26 |
| squad age | 28.87 | — |
| state index | 1.53 | 1.69 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |