← Eredivisie 2016-17 · Sun, Jan 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Kevin Blom, Netherlands
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 68% | 65% | 1.43 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 21% | 4.94 | value: +5% |
| Roda JC win | 12% | 14% | 8.05 | value: +10% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 69' | ⚽ | Dirk Kuyt · Feyenoord Rotterdam |
| 88' | ⚽ | Eljero Elia · Feyenoord Rotterdam |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Roda JC | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 228.00 | 625.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 4.20 |
| venue | Parkstad Limburg |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 3.77 |
| elo | 1434.79 | 1749.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.59 | 18.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.96 | 1.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.80 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.68 |
| league points | 13.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.00 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.60 | 59.20 |
| rest days | 29.00 | 29.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.76 | 2.47 |
| skill v1 | -2.05 | 1.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 9.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 7.60 |
| squad age | 27.20 | 27.65 |
| state index | -0.56 | 1.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.55 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |