← Eredivisie 2016-17 · Sun, Nov 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Dennis Higler, Netherlands
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 73% | 77% | 1.34 | value: +3% |
| Draw | 17% | 17% | 5.86 | fair |
| PEC Zwolle win | 10% | 6% | 9.52 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | ⚽ | Dirk Kuyt · Feyenoord Rotterdam |
| 71' | ⚽ | Karim El Ahmadi · Feyenoord Rotterdam |
| 76' | ⚽ | Jens Toornstra · Feyenoord Rotterdam |
| 84' | 🟨 | Jan-Arie van der Heijden · Feyenoord Rotterdam |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feyenoord Rotterdam | PEC Zwolle |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 569.00 | 1268.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | De Kuip |
| 3.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.70 | 2.32 |
| elo | 1733.43 | 1543.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.95 | 27.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | 0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 48.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| league points | 29.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.42 | 1.08 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.60 | 23.85 |
| state index | 0.42 | 0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |