← Eredivisie 2016-17 · Sun, Nov 6, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Bas Nijhuis, Netherlands
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 70% | 70% | 1.39 | fair |
| Draw | 18% | 17% | 5.56 | fair |
| Go Ahead Eagles win | 12% | 13% | 7.82 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Steven Berghuis · Feyenoord Rotterdam |
| 30' | ⚽ | Jarchinio Antonia · Go Ahead Eagles |
| 79' | 🟨 | Bilal Başaçıkoğlu · Feyenoord Rotterdam |
| 84' | 🟨 | Rochdi Achenteh · Go Ahead Eagles |
| 84' | 🟨 | Marcel Ritzmaier · Go Ahead Eagles |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Go Ahead Eagles | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 279.00 | 555.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | De Adelaarshorst |
| 2.00 |
| 4.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 2.54 |
| elo | 1381.19 | 1725.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.97 | -0.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.58 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 65.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.74 |
| league points | 8.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 2.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.73 | 2.64 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.67 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |