← Eredivisie 2015-16 · Sun, May 8, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV win | 71% | 67% | 1.37 | fair |
| Draw | 17% | 19% | 5.65 | value: +5% |
| PEC Zwolle win | 12% | 14% | 8.32 | value: +17% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | PSV |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1072.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1579.63 | 1873.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.23 | 22.14 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.60 |
| league points | 48.00 | 81.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 2.45 |
| state index | 0.34 | 2.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |