← Eredivisie 2015-16 · Tue, Apr 19, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV win | 71% | 72% | 1.37 | fair |
| Draw | 18% | 18% | 5.45 | fair |
| Vitesse win | 11% | 10% | 8.92 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | PSV | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 106.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1867.33 | 1629.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.78 | -22.92 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| league points | 75.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 2.42 | 1.45 |
| state index | 1.26 | 0.03 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |