← Eredivisie 2015-16 · Sat, Apr 16, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 75% | 76% | 1.31 | fair |
| Draw | 16% | 16% | 6.01 | fair |
| FC Groningen win | 9% | 8% | 10.64 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feyenoord Rotterdam | FC Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 351.00 | 1050.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1674.72 | 1543.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.71 | -15.73 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| league points | 55.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.33 |
| state index | 1.32 | -0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |