← Eredivisie 2015-16 · Sun, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 49% | 41% | 1.97 | fair |
| FC Twente '65 win | 25% | 32% | 3.84 | value: +25% |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | 3.88 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Twente '65 | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1561.00 | 345.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1582.88 | 1665.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.81 | 43.03 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| league points | 38.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.79 |
| state index | 0.73 | 1.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |