← Eredivisie 2015-16 · Fri, Apr 8, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle win | 54% | 53% | 1.82 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 26% | 4.00 | value: +3% |
| Roda JC win | 22% | 21% | 4.44 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | Roda JC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1042.00 | 312.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1563.41 | 1438.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.20 | 1.72 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.05 |
| league points | 41.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.07 |
| state index | 0.16 | -0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |