← Eredivisie 2015-16 · Sun, Mar 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitesse win | 38% | 40% | 2.59 | fair |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 35% | 31% | 2.78 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 29% | 3.58 | value: +3% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Vitesse | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 69.00 | 317.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1652.58 | 1638.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.35 | -10.26 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| league points | 40.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.65 |
| state index | 0.41 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |