← Eredivisie 2015-16 · Sun, Feb 28, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Utrecht win | 40% | 49% | 2.44 | value: +20% |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 34% | 25% | 2.89 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 3.71 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Utrecht | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 242.00 | 303.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1585.96 | 1622.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.76 | -64.27 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| league points | 38.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.54 |
| state index | 0.16 | -1.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |