← Eredivisie 2015-16 · Sun, Feb 21, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 68% | 68% | 1.44 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 19% | 4.87 | fair |
| Roda JC win | 12% | 13% | 7.88 | value: +4% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Roda JC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 296.00 | 265.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1628.35 | 1446.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -75.57 | 26.93 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| league points | 36.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.04 |
| state index | -0.93 | -0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |