← Eredivisie 2015-16 · Sun, Feb 14, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 46% | 40% | 2.14 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | 3.57 | fair |
| PEC Zwolle win | 27% | 33% | 3.59 | value: +18% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 988.00 | 289.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1557.81 | 1644.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.70 | -71.99 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 29.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.64 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.92 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |