← Eredivisie 2015-16 · Sat, Feb 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Twente '65 win | 37% | 36% | 2.64 | fair |
| Roda JC win | 36% | 36% | 2.73 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 3.56 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Roda JC | FC Twente '65 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 257.00 | 1504.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1456.05 | 1543.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.82 | 39.43 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| league points | 24.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.00 |
| state index | -0.13 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |