← Eredivisie 2014-15 · Sun, May 10, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Heerenveen win | 43% | 51% | 2.26 | value: +15% |
| Go Ahead Eagles win | 32% | 26% | 3.06 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 23% | 3.89 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Go Ahead Eagles | SC Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1043.00 | 1774.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1394.94 | 1621.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.96 | 4.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 26.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| season ppg | 0.81 | 1.53 |
| state index | -0.96 | 0.42 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |