← Eredivisie 2014-15 · Sun, May 10, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Ajax win | 66% | 73% | 1.48 | value: +8% |
| Draw | 19% | 18% | 5.11 | fair |
| SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win | 15% | 9% | 6.57 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AFC Ajax | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 3235.00 | 404.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1817.52 | 1514.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.23 | -14.95 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| league points | 68.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| season ppg | 2.13 | 1.28 |
| state index | 0.99 | -0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |