← Eredivisie 2014-15 · Sun, Apr 26, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 50% | 54% | 1.95 | value: +5% |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 3.78 | fair |
| FC Groningen win | 24% | 21% | 4.04 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Groningen | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 694.00 | 299.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1573.60 | 1729.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.88 | 3.43 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| league points | 42.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.87 |
| state index | 0.57 | 0.78 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |