← Eredivisie 2014-15 · Sat, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Go Ahead Eagles win | 41% | 33% | 2.36 | fair |
| FC Utrecht win | 33% | 35% | 2.98 | value: +3% |
| Draw | 26% | 32% | 3.79 | value: +22% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Go Ahead Eagles | FC Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1028.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1421.25 | 1520.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.06 | -23.09 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 2.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 26.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.84 | 1.16 |
| state index | -0.81 | -0.51 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |