← Eredivisie 2014-15 · Sun, Apr 19, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 85% | 85% | 1.14 | fair |
| Draw | 10% | 7% | 9.88 | fair |
| Go Ahead Eagles win | 5% | 7% | 19.09 | value: +41% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Go Ahead Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 292.00 | 1022.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1748.23 | 1403.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.55 | -37.01 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| league points | 58.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.93 | 0.77 |
| state index | 1.48 | -1.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |