← Eredivisie 2014-15 · Sun, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win | 56% | 60% | 1.74 | value: +5% |
| Draw | 23% | 21% | 4.16 | fair |
| Go Ahead Eagles win | 20% | 18% | 4.79 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | Go Ahead Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 369.00 | 1008.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1523.24 | 1417.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.61 | -43.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 36.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 14.96 | 14.96 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 0.82 |
| state index | -0.11 | -1.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |