← Eredivisie 2014-15 · Sat, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitesse win | 57% | 59% | 1.72 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 22% | 4.05 | fair |
| Go Ahead Eagles win | 19% | 19% | 5.09 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Go Ahead Eagles | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 993.00 | 658.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1425.55 | 1659.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.02 | 31.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| league points | 23.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 1.63 |
| state index | -0.89 | 1.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |