← Eredivisie 2014-15 · Sat, Mar 14, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Twente '65 win | 61% | 53% | 1.60 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 31% | 4.34 | value: +33% |
| PEC Zwolle win | 16% | 16% | 5.99 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Twente '65 | PEC Zwolle |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1168.00 | 651.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1627.75 | 1570.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -56.01 | -28.84 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| league points | 36.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.62 |
| state index | -0.54 | -0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |